The idea of Comcast purchasing ITV has sparked worries about the consequences on British public service broadcasting, a reality that the broadcaster's new CEO, joining from a high-ranking position at Sky, will be keenly aware of.
Sky’s ad sales head, Priya Dogra, will now be tasked to lead the charge to oppose her former employer’s buyout proposal to protect Channel 4.
The proposed combination of Sky and ITV’s terrestrial and streaming assets would leave Channel 4 a significantly weaker competitor in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, reviving discussion of the need to reconsider some form of alliance with the BBC for long-term survival.
However, it is the potential ramifications on the future of news provision that are causing the most immediate alarm for many within the television industry.
The shock revelation last month that Comcast, which owns assets including Universal Studios and bought Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, is financially rational. Traditional broadcasters are facing a profound survival challenge as audiences and revenues continue to swiftly shift to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.
“Comcast’s bid for ITV is causing trepidation among media watchers, with especial focus for news provision.”
However, the potential £1.6bn purchase of ITV’s television business and streaming service, which would end 70 years of autonomy, is full of regulatory, political, and competition concerns.
At a stroke, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its sprawling regional news operation—and become the largest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.
While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a controlling stake—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be heavily involved in the news output of most of the main commercial broadcasters.
“If a deal goes through, the fate of ITN is an critical one that will become a priority politically,” says one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”
Comcast guaranteed to keep funding Sky News for a decade, upping its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that assurance draws closer to expiring, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to completely finance Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to operate at a deficit of as much as £80m.
It is thought that any deal to buy ITV would include guarantees not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to vary the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes commitments to national and regional news.
“There are clearly questions about diversity of voice,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to wield power... I would hope Comcast realise ways of solving these problems.”
British TV executives have previously warned of the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being snapped up by US corporations.
Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “threatened entity” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.
The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had exceeded ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.
There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the backdrop of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, signals the need for closer partnership between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.
“The UK must have its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a national strategic imperative. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that obligates them to collaborate.”
Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming giant, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.
Any deal will prompt an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will expand the view of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.
“I think it will get passed,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”
Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a eroded BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.
“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a inherent financial issue,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly outperformed forecasts, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to face a crunch point.”
The ongoing saga emphasises a wider dilemma for British media: how to preserve a independent voice and a robust public service ecosystem in an increasingly globalised and digitally dominated landscape.
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